Pitcher's turn. Again, here's how the Pirate pitching stats would look if multiplied by four, representing the end of the year's stats.
Snell 8 W, 12 L, 4.84 ERA, 96 BB, 152 K in 231 IP
Duke 8 W, 8 L, 4.23 ERA, 76 BB, 80 K in 221 IP
Maholm 8 W, 20 L, 5.03 ERA, 80 BB, 152 K in 215 IP
Gorzelanny 12 W, 16 L, 6.64 ERA, 124 BB, 96 K in 163 IP
Dumatrait 4 W, 8 L, 4.39 ERA, 100 BB, 112 K in 164 IP
Capps 40 S, 2.61 ERA, 12 BB, 48 K, in 83 IP
Grabow 12 W, 4 L, 1.33 ERA, 16 BB, 80 K, in 82 IP
Marte 12 W, 0 L, 4.15 ERA, 20 BB, 96 K, in 87 IP
Osoria 8 W, 4 L, 4.88 ERA, 24 BB, 44 K, in 125 IP
Yates 8 W, 0 L, 3.05 ERA, 68 BB, 44 K, in 83 IP
As with the offensive projections, these need to be taken with a block of salt. These aren't good for a whole lot, besides illustrating how awful the starting rotation has been to this point. As further proof, take a second look at those relief win-loss totals. These will obviously not end up near what they look now. Here are the average projections. Again, these are produced using three fourths of the player's career averages, then adding that number to the results thus far.
Snell 10 W, 11 L, 4.53 ERA, 83 BB, 164 K in 207 IP
Duke 10 W, 11 L, 4.21 ERA, 64 BB, 98 K in 209 IP
Maholm 10 W, 16 L, 4.73 ERA, 77 BB, 136 K in 208 IP
Gorzelanny 12 W, 13 L, 4.84 ERA, 95 BB, 121 K in 190 IP
Dumatrait 2 W, 12 L, 6.67 ERA, 87 BB, 87 K, in 141 IP
Capps 18 S, 2.83 ERA, 11 BB, 49 K, in 71 IP
Grabow 5 W, 3 L, 3.41 ERA, 22 BB, 62 K, in 65 IP
Marte 5 W, 2 L, 3.49 ERA, 27 BB, 74 K, in 68 IP
Osoria 2 W, 5 L, 4.88 ERA, 25 BB, 43 K, in 98 IP
Yates 4 W, 3 L, 4.32 ERA, 46 BB, 56 K, in 72 IP
Similarly to the hitters, these projections can give us a pretty good idea of where the Bucs are heading (barring injuries to any of these players of course). One other interesting bit of information revealed here is that the combined record of these pitchers would be 60-75. Fifteen games below .500 is about where this team was expected to be by most experts.
If these projections are anywhere close to being a reality, and they should be, the Pirates will not be a buyer at the trading deadline. Based on John Grabow's career year up to this point, both he and Damaso Marte should be traded. This would hold especially true should Sean Burnett show he belongs in the Major Leagues. Should this happen, expect the Pirates to get some sort of a left handed reliever in return since they have nobody left in AAA, and none of the guys in AA seem relatively close to ready either.
On the plus side, it certainly seems as though the starting rotation is destined to put up some major innings soon.
Thursday, May 22, 2008
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3 comments:
You are correct on not haveingany talent at the lower levels of hell. The "A" level club in State College is horendous at best.
My own honest opinion...they have the bats, at times, to produce runs. Pitching on the other hand, doesn't really produce as well. Can we get some help somewhere in that department?
Walks are killing us. That and the fact that our power pitchers aren't really power pitchers. If the Zambrano's of the league are F1 race cars, we're driving stock 4cyl. Mustangs. We can throw hard enough to make it seem like we're doing ok, but there's really no balls behind it.
HAHAHA! Good analogy buddy.
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